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Period forecast
Storyboard 
Once the similar segment has been determined, the data that follows it can be obtained.
With the way the magnitude varies, it can be estimated how the climatic parameter should continue after the current segment.
If the analysis is carried out with a reference segment from the recent past, in which actual posterior data exists, these can be compared with the forecast.
In this way, the forecast error can be estimated.
ID:(1914, 0)
Period forecast
Description
Once the similar segment has been determined, the data that follows it can be obtained.\n\nWith the way the magnitude varies, it can be estimated how the climatic parameter should continue after the current segment.\n\nIf the analysis is carried out with a reference segment from the recent past, in which actual posterior data exists, these can be compared with the forecast.\n\nIn this way, the forecast error can be estimated.\n
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Calculations
Variable
Given
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Equation
To be used
Equations
Examples
Si se grafica la funci n calculada en los 36 meses posteriores al tiempo en que se calcularon los modos se obtiene un pronostico para el parametro:
(ID 14358)
Si se reserva el ultimo a o para evaluar el error y se calculan los modos con las 12 a os anteriores. Con dichos modos se puede realizar un pronostico para los 12 meses que se reservaron y compararlo con los datos reales. De esta forma se puede estimar la calidad del pronostico para datos ya ocurridos que no se empelaron para el proceso de modelar.
(ID 14360)
ID:(1914, 0)